Conditional nonlinear expectations

Veröffentlichungen: Beitrag in FachzeitschriftArtikelPeer Reviewed

Abstract

Let Ω be a Polish space with Borel σ-field F and countably generated sub σ-field G⊂F. Denote by L(F) the set of all bounded F-upper semianalytic functions from Ω to the reals and by L(G) the subset of G-upper semianalytic functions. Let E(⋅|G):L(F)→L(G) be a sublinear increasing functional which leaves L(G) invariant. It is shown that there exists a G-analytic set-valued mapping P G from Ω to the set of probabilities which are concentrated on atoms of G with compact convex values such that E(X|G)(ω)=sup P∈P G(ω) E P[X] if and only if E(⋅|G) is pointwise continuous from below and continuous from above on the continuous functions. Further, given another sublinear increasing functional E(⋅):L(F)→R which leaves the constants invariant, the tower property E(⋅)=E(E(⋅|G)) is characterized via a pasting property of the representing sets of probabilities, and the importance of analytic functions is explained. Finally, it is characterized when a nonlinear version of Fubini's theorem holds true and when the product of a set of probabilities and a set of kernels is compact.

OriginalspracheEnglisch
Seiten (von - bis)785-805
Seitenumfang21
FachzeitschriftStochastic Processes and their Applications
Jahrgang130
Ausgabenummer2
DOIs
PublikationsstatusVeröffentlicht - Feb. 2020

ÖFOS 2012

  • 101024 Wahrscheinlichkeitstheorie
  • 101007 Finanzmathematik

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