Bubbles and cycles in the Solow-Swan model

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Abstract

We consider a neoclassical one-sector economy in which-in addition to physical capital-there exists a second asset. This asset is unproductive, cannot be consumed, and does not pay dividends. A no-arbitrage condition is imposed so that the two assets are equivalent stores of value. Finally, we assume that consumption (respectively, investment) is a fixed fraction of the sum of aggregate factor income (GDP) and capital gains. In this modified Solow-Swan model, we characterize the conditions under which bubbles can exist, i.e., under which the useless asset can have a positive price. We find that these conditions do not imply that the original Solow-Swan equilibrium is dynamically inefficient, and we demonstrate that asset price bubbles can lead to non-monotonic and even periodic capital accumulation paths.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)193-221
Number of pages29
JournalJournal of Economics / Zeitschrift für Nationalökonomie
Volume127
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2019

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

Austrian Fields of Science 2012

  • 502018 Macroeconomics

Keywords

  • Asset price bubbles
  • DEBT
  • Dynamic inefficiency
  • ECONOMIC-GROWTH
  • Non-monotonic dynamics
  • Solow-Swan model
  • Solow–Swan model

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