Government Rhetoric and the Representation of Public Opinion in International Negotiations

Christopher Wratil, Jens Wäckerle, Sven-Oliver Proksch

Publications: Contribution to journalArticlePeer Reviewed

Abstract

The role of domestic public opinion is an important topic in research on international negotiations, yet we know little about how exactly it manifests itself. We focus on government rhetoric during negotiations and develop a conceptual distinction between implicit and explicit manifestations of public opinion. Drawing on a database of video recordings of negotiations of the Council of the European Union and a quantitative text analysis of government speeches, we find that public opinion matters implicitly, with the exact pattern depending on governments’ stance toward the EU. Pro-EU governments are responsive to public opinion in their support for compromises and attempts to stall negotiations, whereas Euroskeptic governments tend to remain silent when confronted with a public positively disposed toward the EU. Our results show that although governments implicitly represent public opinion, they do not systematically invoke their voters explicitly, suggesting the public matters but in different ways than often assumed.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1105-1122
Number of pages18
JournalAmerican Political Science Review
Volume117
Issue number3
Early online date9 Dec 2022
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 9 Aug 2023

Austrian Fields of Science 2012

  • 506007 International relations
  • 506004 European integration
  • 506014 Comparative politics

Cite this