Abstract
I propose a simple method to estimate a macro shock-specific Okun elasticity, which characterises by how much the unemployment rate falls when output increases by one percentage point because of a specific macroeconomic shock. Using data for the US, I consider government spending, tax, monetary policy, financial, technology, and oil shocks. I find the Okun elasticity is largely stable across shocks, but subtle differences emerge: (i) the elasticity is larger for financial shocks, (ii) the speed at which unemployment adjusts relative to output depends on the shock driving fluctuations.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 109826 |
| Number of pages | 4 |
| Journal | Economics Letters |
| Volume | 202 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - May 2021 |
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
- 502018 Macroeconomics
Keywords
- Okun's Law
- instrumental variables
- Economic fluctuations
- Instrumental variables
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