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Macroeconomic Shocks and Okun's Law

  • Alexander Ziegenbein

Publications: Contribution to journalArticlePeer Reviewed

Abstract

I propose a simple method to estimate a macro shock-specific Okun elasticity, which characterises by how much the unemployment rate falls when output increases by one percentage point because of a specific macroeconomic shock. Using data for the US, I consider government spending, tax, monetary policy, financial, technology, and oil shocks. I find the Okun elasticity is largely stable across shocks, but subtle differences emerge: (i) the elasticity is larger for financial shocks, (ii) the speed at which unemployment adjusts relative to output depends on the shock driving fluctuations.
Original languageEnglish
Article number109826
Number of pages4
JournalEconomics Letters
Volume202
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2021

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
    SDG 8 Decent Work and Economic Growth

Austrian Fields of Science 2012

  • 502018 Macroeconomics

Keywords

  • Okun's Law
  • instrumental variables
  • Economic fluctuations
  • Instrumental variables

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