MAP D-PHASE: Real-time Demonstration of Weather Forecast Quality in the Alpine Region

Mathias Rotach, Manfred Dorninger

Publications: Contribution to journalArticlePeer Reviewed

Abstract

Demonstration of probabilistic hydrological and atmospheric simulation of flood events in the Alpine region (D-PHASE) is made by the Forecast Demonstration Project in connection with the Mesoscale Alpine Programme (MAP). Its focus lies in the end-to-end flood forecasting in a mountainous region such as the Alps and surrounding lower ranges. Its scope ranges from radar observations and atmospheric and hydrological modeling to the decision making by the civil protection agents. More than 30 atmospheric high-resolution deterministic and probabilistic models coupled to some seven hydrological models in various combinations provided real-time online information. This information was available for many different catchments across the Alps over a demonstration period of 6 months in summer/ fall 2007. The Web-based exchange platform additionally contained nowcasting information from various operational services and feedback channels for the forecasters and end users. D-PHASE applications include objective model verification and intercomparison, the assessment of (subjective) end user feedback, and evaluation of the overall gain from the coupling of the various components in the end-to-end forecasting system.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1321-1336
Number of pages16
JournalBulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Volume90
Issue number9
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2009

Austrian Fields of Science 2012

  • 105206 Meteorology

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