Abstract
Propagation models can study the runout and deposit of potential flow-like landslides only if a reliable estimate of the shape and size of the volumes involved in the phenomenon is avail-able. This aspect becomes critical when a collapse has not yet occurred and the estimation of the unstable volume is not uniquely predictable. This work proposes a strategy to overcome this prob-lem, using two established analysis methods in sequence; first, a Strength Reduction Method (SRM)-based 3D FEM allows the estimate of the instable volume; then, this data becomes an input for a Smoothed Particle Hydrodynamics (SPH)-based model. This strategy is applied to predict the pos-sible evolution of Sant’Andrea landslide (North-Eastern Italian Alps). Such a complex landslide, which affects anhydrite–gypsum rocks and is strongly subject to rainfall triggering, can be consid-ered as a prototype for the use of this procedure. In this case, the FEM–SRM model is adopted, which calibrates using mapping, monitoring, geophysical and geotechnical data to estimate the volume involved in the potential detachment. This volume is subsequently used as the input of the SPH model. In this second phase, a sensitivity analysis is also performed to complete the evaluation of the most reliable final soil deposits. The performed analyses allow a satisfactory prediction of the post-collapse landslide evolution, delivering a reliable estimate of the volumes involved in the collapse and a reliable forecast of the landslide runout.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 364 |
| Journal | Geosciences (Switzerland) |
| Volume | 11 |
| Issue number | 9 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Sept 2021 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Funding
Acknowledgments: The authors wish to thank: Marco Puiatti (Head of the Department of Soil Protection, Veneto Region, Venice), for the financial support of this research activity, Anna Galuppo (Department of Soil Protection, Veneto Region) for the technical and administrative management of the landslide monitoring system, Alvise Lucchetta and Natalino Zoggia (Department of Soil Protection, Veneto Region), Rocco Mariani (Department of Civil Defense, Veneto Region), Osvaldo Carniel and Cosimo Martinelli (Clios Srl, Belluno) for the technical and logistical support. All the used data are property of the Veneto Region; the authors have obtained permission for their use in this work. This research activity was developed thanks to the financial support of the Department of Soil Protection, Veneto Region, Venice.Acknowledgments: The authors wish to thank: Marco Puiatti (Head of the Department of Soil Pro-tection, Veneto Region, Venice), for the financial support of this research activity, Anna Galuppo (Department of Soil Protection, Veneto Region) for the technical and administrative management of the landslide monitoring system, Alvise Lucchetta and Natalino Zoggia (Department of Soil Protec-tion, Veneto Region), Rocco Mariani (Department of Civil Defense, Veneto Region), Osvaldo Carniel and Cosimo Martinelli (Clios Srl, Belluno) for the technical and logistical support. All the used data are property of the Veneto Region; the authors have obtained permission for their use in this work.
Austrian Fields of Science 2012
- 207206 Engineering geology
Keywords
- Anhydrite–gypsum rock
- Hydrogeological risk
- Landslide modeling
- Slope instability
- Smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH)
- Strength reduction method (SRM)