Uncovering Correlation Sensitivity in Decision Making under risk

Moritz Loewenfeld, Jiakun Zheng

Publications: Electronic/multimedia outputWeb publication

Abstract

Allowing risk preferences to be sensitive to the correlation between lottery outcomes can resolve
classical deviations from expected utility theory and provides a plausible explanation for phenom-
ena in various real-world settings. However, evidence on correlation sensitivity is limited and
mixed. In this paper, we first show that correlation-sensitive preferences in the general frame-
work of Lanzani (2022) can be classified into three categories. We propose a novel experimental
task that allows to classify experimental subjects according to this categorization. In a series of
experiments, we find that aggregate choices display correlation sensitivity but in the opposite di-
rection as often assumed in regret and salience theory. Individual level analysis suggests that the
aggregate findings are driven by a minority who consistently exhibit this behavior even when it
violates first-order stochastic dominance. Finally, we disentangle between correlation sensitivity
due to deliberate within-state comparisons and incidental payoff comparisons due to the framing
of decision problems, and find that both channels produce correlation sensitivity, with deliberate
comparisons being somewhat more important.
Original languageEnglish
Media of outputOnline
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2023
Externally publishedYes

Austrian Fields of Science 2012

  • 502045 Behavioural economics

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